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879
FXUS64 KFWD 072311
AFDFWD
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
511 PM CST Sun Dec 7 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Near to below normal temperatures will continue through Monday,
with above normal temperatures expected the rest of next week.
- The next strong cold front is expected to arrive later this week
and will bring another round of much cooler temperatures.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of the afternoon through Monday night)
Issued at 1230 PM CST Sun Dec 7 2025
After another chilly, cloudy, and foggy morning, conditions will
continue to slowly improve this afternoon as the drier airmass
finally arrives from the north. Breezy north winds with gusts
near 20-25 mph are possible through the afternoon. While recent
radar imagery show some light reflectivity returns from the mid-
level clouds over portions of North TX, most of it is not
reaching the ground. Dewpoints in the mid/upper 30s are beginning
to filter in as well, keeping the lower levels fairly dry. Still
we can't rule out a little bit of drizzle before all the clouds
clear out this afternoon. The combination of clouds and winds will
keep today's highs mainly in the low to mid 50s across North TX
and upper 50s/lower 60s in Central TX.
Surface winds will begin to subside tonight as a surface high
pressure moves towards our area. Low temperatures will drop to
the upper 20s to mid 30s with wind chill generally in the 20s.
Make sure to bundle up for the morning commute Monday morning.
Another seasonably cooler day is in store for us on Monday with
highs in the 50s to low 60s but with plenty of sunshine and light
winds. The surface high pressure will shift to the east Monday
night with the return of the south winds. Overnight lows will
stay in the 30s but only a few locations will drop below freezing
by Tuesday morning.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday through next Saturday)
Issued at 1230 PM CST Sun Dec 7 2025
The long-term forecast continues to highlight the warming trend
Tuesday through Thursday followed by the next strong cold front
by the end of the week into the weekend. Large scale troughing
will dominate the eastern half of the CONUS most of the week but
the surface ridge to our west will keep the colder airmass over
the central/northern plains. A weak cold front may attempt to
push south on Wednesday briefly shifting the winds to the north,
but we won't see much of a cooldown until the stronger front
later in the week. Daytime highs Tuesday through Thursday will
range from the 60s to low 70s and lows in the 30s/40s staying
above freezing.
For the late week and weekend period, extended guidance continues
to trend towards a deeper trough over the eastern U.S with a
stronger/expansive surface ridge building east of the Rockies.
This will send a much colder airmass across the southern plains
and the southeast U.S. by the end of the week into the weekend. We
could be looking at widespread highs in the 40s to low 50s by next
Saturday.
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 505 PM CST Sun Dec 7 2025
Post-frontal stratus has vacated the TAF sites to the southeast
following this morning's cold frontal passage, with VFR and mostly
clear skies now prevailing. Northerly wind speeds will decline to
less than 10 kts this evening and will remain light into
tomorrow. A small percentage (10-20%) of recent high-res guidance
is depicting some very patchy fog development within D10
overnight, but this low-probability scenario seems unlikely given
drying forecast sounding profiles along with 2-4 degree surface
dewpoint depressions, and therefore will not be addressed in the
TAFs at this time. Light winds will return to southeasterly
around/after 00z Monday evening.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth 33 53 37 65 / 0 0 0 0
Waco 32 55 35 65 / 0 0 0 0
Paris 32 50 32 60 / 0 0 0 0
Denton 29 53 33 65 / 0 0 0 0
McKinney 31 52 34 63 / 0 0 0 0
Dallas 34 54 38 64 / 0 0 0 0
Terrell 32 53 33 63 / 0 0 0 0
Corsicana 33 55 36 65 / 0 0 0 0
Temple 34 57 34 66 / 0 0 0 0
Mineral Wells 31 58 34 70 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Sanchez
LONG TERM....Sanchez
AVIATION...Stalley
File: /home/ldm/var/data/BY_SOURCE/KFWD/FXUS64/20251207T2311.txt
715
FXUS64 KFWD 071830
AFDFWD
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1230 PM CST Sun Dec 7 2025
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- A cold front has moved across the region, leading to breezy
north winds through the afternoon. Most of the clouds will
finally clear late afternoon or evening.
- Near to below normal temperatures will continue through Monday,
with above normal temperatures expected the rest of next week.
- The next strong cold front is expected to arrive later this week
and will bring the another round of much cooler temperatures.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of the afternoon through Monday night)
Issued at 1230 PM CST Sun Dec 7 2025
After another chilly, cloudy, and foggy morning, conditions will
continue to slowly improve this afternoon as the drier airmass
finally arrives from the north. Breezy north winds with gusts
near 20-25 mph are possible through the afternoon. While recent
radar imagery show some light reflectivity returns from the mid-
level clouds over portions of North TX, most of it is not
reaching the ground. Dewpoints in the mid/upper 30s are beginning
to filter in as well, keeping the lower levels fairly dry. Still
we can't rule out a little bit of drizzle before all the clouds
clear out this afternoon. The combination of clouds and winds will
keep today's highs mainly in the low to mid 50s across North TX
and upper 50s/lower 60s in Central TX.
Surface winds will begin to subside tonight as a surface high
pressure moves towards our area. Low temperatures will drop to
the upper 20s to mid 30s with wind chill generally in the 20s.
Make sure to bundle up for the morning commute Monday morning.
Another seasonably cooler day is in store for us on Monday with
highs in the 50s to low 60s but with plenty of sunshine and light
winds. The surface high pressure will shift to the east Monday
night with the return of the south winds. Overnight lows will
stay in the 30s but only a few locations will drop below freezing
by Tuesday morning.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday through next Saturday)
Issued at 1230 PM CST Sun Dec 7 2025
The long-term forecast continues to highlight the warming trend
Tuesday through Thursday followed by the next strong cold front
by the end of the week into the weekend. Large scale troughing
will dominate the eastern half of the CONUS most of the week but
the surface ridge to our west will keep the colder airmass over
the central/northern plains. A weak cold front may attempt to
push south on Wednesday briefly shifting the winds to the north,
but we won't see much of a cooldown until the stronger front
later in the week. Daytime highs Tuesday through Thursday will
range from the 60s to low 70s and lows in the 30s/40s staying
above freezing.
For the late week and weekend period, extended guidance continues
to trend towards a deeper trough over the eastern U.S with a
stronger/expansive surface ridge building east of the Rockies.
This will send a much colder airmass across the southern plains
and the southeast U.S. by the end of the week into the weekend. We
could be looking at widespread highs in the 40s to low 50s by next
Saturday.
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1230 PM CST Sun Dec 7 2025
Expect a few more hours of IFR/MVFR ceilings through mid
afternoon before the post-frontal drier airmass finally
lift/scatter out the rest of the low clouds. Breezy northerly
winds will continue the rest of the afternoon with occasional
gusts near 20-25 kts. Winds will decrease to around 5 kts tonight
becoming light/variable Monday afternoon. A surface high pressure
will build across the region tonight with clear skies through
Monday.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth 33 53 37 65 / 0 0 0 0
Waco 34 55 35 65 / 0 0 0 0
Paris 31 50 32 60 / 0 0 0 0
Denton 28 53 33 65 / 0 0 0 0
McKinney 30 52 34 63 / 0 0 0 0
Dallas 34 54 38 64 / 0 0 0 0
Terrell 32 53 33 63 / 0 0 0 0
Corsicana 34 55 36 65 / 0 0 0 0
Temple 33 57 34 66 / 0 0 0 0
Mineral Wells 29 58 34 70 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Sanchez
LONG TERM....Sanchez
AVIATION...Sanchez
File: /home/ldm/var/data/BY_SOURCE/KFWD/FXUS64/20251207T1830.txt
591
FXUS64 KFWD 071118
AFDFWD
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
518 AM CST Sun Dec 7 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Areas of dense fog will linger through mid morning. A cold front
is moving through North Texas and north winds will increase and
become breezy through the afternoon.
- Near to below normal temperatures will continue through Monday,
with above normal temperatures expected the rest of next week.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Monday)
Issued at 1220 AM CST Sun Dec 7 2025
Satellite imagery shows an expansive area of low clouds to our
north and to our south with most of Central and North Texas under
clear skies at this hour. Some patchy dense fog has developed
mainly north of I-20, but this is expected to increase in coverage
through the overnight hours. At the surface, a weak area of low
pressure is centered near Abilene with weak southerly winds across
our region. This is helping to maintain low to mid 40s dewpoints
as temperatures fall under mostly clear skies. This should
continue to promote some fog development through the late
overnight hours. Meanwhile, a shortwave trough is swinging out of
the central Rockies and into the Plains and will eventually send a
cold front through the region later this morning. Winds will
initially begin to shift to the north prior to sunrise as the
surface low moves off to the east. As these winds turn more
northerly, the bank of low clouds to the north should expand in
coverage and spread south through the early morning hours.
Widespread low clouds and fog are expected through late morning
across the region. As the upper disturbance continues eastward,
northerly winds will increase in speed and become breezy by
midday. This should drag some drier air into North Texas and will
quickly erode the low clouds and any lingering fog. High
temperatures will only manage to reach into the low to mid 50s,
but brisk north winds will make it feel quite a bit cooler through
the afternoon.
Clear skies and diminishing winds will result in a cold night
Sunday night with lows in the mid 20s across our north and
northwest counties. Lower 30s are expected elsewhere. Monday will
be sunny and cool with highs in the 50s.
Dunn
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Monday night through next Saturday)
Issued at 1220 AM CST Sun Dec 7 2025
The upcoming week will feature steadily warming temperatures
through Thursday as mid level ridging expands to our west. Highs
will climb into the 60s on Tuesday and may approach 80 degrees
across parts of our Central TX counties by Thursday afternoon. An
amplifying trough over the eastern CONUS will send a strong cold
front through the Southern Plains late Thursday with much colder
air filtering into the region for Friday and Saturday. Highs will
struggle to get out of the 40s in some areas with overnight lows
in the low to mid 20s expected Friday night. No precipitation is
expected at this time through the week.
Dunn
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 513 AM CST Sun Dec 7 2025
Widespread LIFR cigs/vis will continue through mid morning before
visibilities start to improve. Most sites in the D10 airspace are
at 1/4 to 1/2SM with VV002 and this is likely to continue through
about 15Z. We'll see some gradual improvement through late morning
before a push of drier air really surges southward into the
afternoon. North winds will become breezy later this morning into
the afternoon before diminishing this evening. VFR is expected
this afternoon through tonight.
Dunn
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth 56 33 53 36 / 0 0 0 0
Waco 59 35 54 35 / 0 0 0 0
Paris 53 31 51 32 / 0 0 0 0
Denton 55 28 53 32 / 0 0 0 0
McKinney 54 30 52 34 / 0 0 0 0
Dallas 57 34 54 37 / 0 0 0 0
Terrell 57 31 53 33 / 0 0 0 0
Corsicana 60 36 55 36 / 0 0 0 0
Temple 61 34 58 34 / 0 0 0 0
Mineral Wells 59 29 59 34 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM CST this morning for TXZ091>095-
100>107-115>121-123-129>131-133-134.
&&
$$
File: /home/ldm/var/data/BY_SOURCE/KFWD/FXUS64/20251207T1118.txt
205
FXUS64 KFWD 070621
AFDFWD
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1221 AM CST Sun Dec 7 2025
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Areas of fog and low clouds will develop and linger through
midday Sunday. A cold front will move through this morning with
breezy north winds and cooler air behind it.
- Near to below normal temperatures will continue through Monday,
with above normal temperatures expected the rest of next week.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Monday)
Issued at 1220 AM CST Sun Dec 7 2025
Satellite imagery shows an expansive area of low clouds to our
north and to our south with most of Central and North Texas under
clear skies at this hour. Some patchy dense fog has developed
mainly north of I-20, but this is expected to increase in coverage
through the overnight hours. At the surface, a weak area of low
pressure is centered near Abilene with weak southerly winds across
our region. This is helping to maintain low to mid 40s dewpoints
as temperatures fall under mostly clear skies. This should
continue to promote some fog development through the late
overnight hours. Meanwhile, a shortwave trough is swinging out of
the central Rockies and into the Plains and will eventually send a
cold front through the region later this morning. Winds will
initially begin to shift to the north prior to sunrise as the
surface low moves off to the east. As these winds turn more
northerly, the bank of low clouds to the north should expand in
coverage and spread south through the early morning hours.
Widespread low clouds and fog are expected through late morning
across the region. As the upper disturbance continues eastward,
northerly winds will increase in speed and become breezy by
midday. This should drag some drier air into North Texas and will
quickly erode the low clouds and any lingering fog. High
temperatures will only manage to reach into the low to mid 50s,
but brisk north winds will make it feel quite a bit cooler through
the afternoon.
Clear skies and diminishing winds will result in a cold night
Sunday night with lows in the mid 20s across our north and
northwest counties. Lower 30s are expected elsewhere. Monday will
be sunny and cool with highs in the 50s.
Dunn
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Monday night through next Saturday)
Issued at 1220 AM CST Sun Dec 7 2025
The upcoming week will feature steadily warming temperatures
through Thursday as mid level ridging expands to our west. Highs
will climb into the 60s on Tuesday and may approach 80 degrees
across parts of our Central TX counties by Thursday afternoon. An
amplifying trough over the eastern CONUS will send a strong cold
front through the Southern Plains late Thursday with much colder
air filtering into the region for Friday and Saturday. Highs will
struggle to get out of the 40s in some areas with overnight lows
in the low to mid 20s expected Friday night. No precipitation is
expected at this time through the week.
Dunn
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1220 AM CST Sun Dec 7 2025
VFR prevails at the major airports at this hour, but widespread
fog and low clouds are expected to overtake much of the region
over the next several hours. We'll show deteriorating conditions
by 10Z with BKN004 cigs spreading in from the north along with
some reduced visibility. While visibility has dropped to less than
1 mile in areas to the north of DFW...low clouds may be the main
concern through the mid morning hours. We'll carry a TEMPO for 1SM
vis but have OVC003 cigs in place. IFR cigs are expected to
persist through late morning before rapid clearing takes place
early this afternoon.
Winds will shift from southeast to north around 10Z ahead of the
stronger push of cooler air behind the cold front. North winds
will increase in speed by mid morning and become gusty through the
afternoon. VFR is expected Sunday night into early Monday morning.
Dunn
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth 53 43 56 33 / 0 0 0 0
Waco 66 48 61 34 / 0 0 0 0
Paris 49 40 54 30 / 0 0 0 0
Denton 49 38 56 27 / 0 0 0 0
McKinney 53 41 55 29 / 0 0 0 0
Dallas 55 44 58 33 / 0 0 0 0
Terrell 56 43 57 31 / 0 0 0 0
Corsicana 63 48 61 35 / 0 0 0 0
Temple 70 47 63 34 / 0 0 0 0
Mineral Wells 56 40 59 29 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Dense Fog Advisory from 3 AM to 9 AM CST Sunday for TXZ091>095-
100>107-115>121-123-129>131-133-134.
&&
$$
File: /home/ldm/var/data/BY_SOURCE/KFWD/FXUS64/20251207T0621.txt
301
FXUS64 KFWD 062343
AFDFWD
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
543 PM CST Sat Dec 6 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Another round fog is expected late tonight into Sunday morning
across portions of North and East Texas. A cold front will move
through the region Sunday morning with drier air and breezy
conditions behind it.
- Near to below normal temperatures will continue through Monday,
with above normal temperatures expected the rest of next week.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Sunday night)
Issued at 1245 PM CST Sat Dec 6 2025
After a cloudy and/or foggy morning across much of North Texas,
it looks like some of these low clouds will linger well into the
afternoon hours. This will result in cooler high temperatures,
with a few locations along the Red River staying the upper 40s or
lower 50s. The rest of area will stay in the 50s and 60s (mainly
Central TX) with light southerly winds.
Our next cold front is still expected to arrive late tonight into
Sunday morning. Latest high-res models are trending toward
another round of low clouds and/or fog ahead of the approaching
front over portions of North and East TX. This should keep the
morning temperatures generally in the low to mid 40s in North TX
and upper 40s over in Central TX. The good news is that the post-
frontal winds will become breezy by mid-late morning and should
lift/scatter out the majority of these clouds. Occasional gusts
near 20 to 25 mph are possible in the afternoon. These north winds
will keep the daytime highs in the 50s across North TX and low 60s
over in Central TX. Winds will begin to decrease Sunday night,
but the forecast shows sub-freezing temperatures for many
locations Sunday night. Make sure to bundle up very well for the
morning commute Monday morning.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Monday through Friday)
Issued at 1245 PM CST Sat Dec 6 2025
Not much has changed in the long-term forecast with a quiet week
ahead. After a chilly Monday, a warming trend will take place
Tuesday through Thursday as surface high pressure remains to our
east and south flow prevails. At the same time, dry northwesterly
flow will be in place at the mid-upper levels as a longwave
trough dominates the eastern half of the CONUS. Daytime highs will
reach the 60s/70s next Wednesday and Thursday before the next
cold front approaches our region. As expected with the systems 6-7
days out, the timing and progression of the front is still
uncertain. Cluster analysis show almost 50/50 split between the
longwave digging farther south into the southern Plains versus
keeping it north of our area. If the models continue to trend
toward the first option, we could see another round of cold
weather arriving to the region by late week or early next
weekend.
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 543 PM CST Sat Dec 6 2025
Low clouds and reduced visibilities have improved as of 23z with
VFR prevailing the rest of this evening. Overnight, additional low
clouds and fog will develop near the TX/OK border and spread
southward with a slow-moving frontal zone. This will result in
degraded flight categories late tonight into Sunday morning, with
periods of IFR/LIFR cigs and vis. The worst conditions should
materialize for Metroplex airports between 11-14z before drier air
arrives behind the front and results in a fairly quick
improvement through the rest of the morning. VFR and mostly clear
skies should arrive by the afternoon, with northwest winds
increasing to 15G25KT. Similar trends can be expected at Waco
with a time delay of 2-3 hours. The post-frontal north winds will
subside to 10 kts or less after 00z tomorrow evening.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth 43 56 33 53 / 0 0 0 0
Waco 48 61 34 56 / 0 0 0 0
Paris 40 54 30 51 / 0 0 0 0
Denton 38 56 27 53 / 0 0 0 0
McKinney 41 55 29 52 / 0 0 0 0
Dallas 44 58 33 54 / 0 0 0 0
Terrell 43 57 31 53 / 0 0 0 0
Corsicana 48 61 35 55 / 0 0 0 0
Temple 47 63 34 58 / 0 0 0 0
Mineral Wells 40 59 29 58 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Dense Fog Advisory from 3 AM to 9 AM CST Sunday for TXZ091>095-
100>107-115>121-123-129>131-133-134.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Sanchez
LONG TERM....Sanchez
AVIATION...Stalley
File: /home/ldm/var/data/BY_SOURCE/KFWD/FXUS64/20251206T2343.txt
