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205
FXUS64 KFWD 241050
AFDFWD
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
550 AM CDT Sun May 24 2026
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Scattered showers and thunderstorms will remain possible through
the rest of the holiday weekend into next week. The severe
weather threat remains low overall, with locally heavy rainfall
and lightning the main recurring hazards.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 147 AM CDT Sun May 24 2026
A weak surface trough/front is draped across North Texas early
this morning, roughly from near Paris to the Metroplex to
Breckenridge, with light winds and rich low-level moisture pooled
near the boundary. Regional radar shows the remaining Panhandle
convection has evolved into a small bowing line of storms west of
Wichita Falls, moving east-southeast toward the Big Country and
western North Texas. This activity still has a history of strong
wind gusts, and a few stronger gusts may persist over the next
hour or two as the leading gust front moves through weak
instability. Modest mid-level subsidence, weaker lapse rates, and
only limited low-level jet support should favor a gradual
weakening trend as this activity moves farther east through the
early morning hours. Outside of the convection, the combination of
light winds, a moist boundary layer, and the weak surface
boundary across North Texas may support patchy mist or fog toward
daybreak. The best potential for any visibility reductions should
remain mainly east of US-75/I-45, where near-surface moisture is
deepest.
The main forecast question for Sunday will be where any
leftover outflow boundary from the overnight convection settles.
Recent trends suggest this boundary may end up somewhere west of
I-35 and north of I-20, while the weak surface trough/front
remains nearby across North Texas. Moisture pooling along these
boundaries combined with daytime heating should be enough for
isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms Sunday afternoon
and early evening. The highest rain chances will be near the
better boundary focus west of I-35, and across the Brazos
Valley/eastern Central Texas where forcing aloft will be
displaced a bit farther east but lingering moisture and old
boundaries remain in place. Storm coverage should remain
scattered, but any stronger storms may produce gusty winds,
lightning, and brief heavy rain.
Showers and storms should gradually diminish Sunday
evening with the loss of daytime heating. The overall severe
threat remains low given weak flow aloft and limited storm
organization, but the boundary-driven nature of the setup means a
few spots may still see brief stronger storms. Overnight lows will
fall into the 60s with light winds and lingering low-level
moisture. Additional patchy fog or low clouds may develop late
Sunday night into early Monday morning, especially in areas that
receive rainfall Sunday afternoon.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Monday through Saturday)
Issued at 147 AM CDT Sun May 24 2026
Memorial Day and Tuesday continue to look relatively quiet for
most of North and Central Texas as weak ridging and a temporary
decrease in large-scale forcing spread across the region. This
should be good news for those with outdoor holiday plans, with
many locations staying dry for the better part of both days. Low
rain chances will remain across the eastern and southeastern
counties where deeper moisture lingers and weak boundaries may
support isolated afternoon storms. Temperatures will stay near
seasonal normals with afternoon highs generally in the 80s and
muggy mornings in the 60s and lower 70s.
Rain and storm chances will increase sharply Tuesday night into
Wednesday as the next upper disturbance moves into Texas and
provides a better source of lift over the moist air mass. This
still looks like the next period with the highest coverage of
showers and thunderstorms, with locally heavy rainfall again
becoming the main concern where storms repeat or move slowly. The
organized severe threat remains low at this range, though a few
stronger storms with gusty winds and small hail cannot be ruled
out. Rain chances should gradually taper late week as the
disturbance shifts east and weak ridging tries to build back in,
but the pattern will likely remain active enough for at least
intermittent low storm chances through the end of the week.
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 548 AM CDT Sun May 24 2026
Showers associated with the overnight convection continue to
weaken west of the TAF sites and should remain just west of the
Metroplex airports through the morning. The remnant cold
pool/boundary will settle toward the Metroplex over the next
couple of hours, with light northerly winds expected through much
of the day. VFR will prevail at the North Texas terminals, while
KACT may briefly see MVFR ceilings or visibility reductions early
this morning before returning to VFR by mid-morning.
The main change with this issuance is the introduction of VCTS for
the Metroplex airports late this afternoon and early evening.
Although the ongoing showers should continue to weaken, the
residual boundary is expected to linger near D10 and may become a
focus for isolated thunderstorm development during peak heating.
Confidence in direct terminal impacts remains low due to
uncertainty in the exact boundary location and storm coverage, but
the signal is strong enough to advertise vicinity thunder from
roughly 22-01Z. Any storms that develop should remain isolated,
but could produce brief gusty winds and locally heavy rain. KACT
should remain south of the better boundary focus, so no thunder
mention will be included there at this time.
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth 86 69 87 69 / 10 10 10 0
Waco 85 68 86 68 / 10 10 10 0
Paris 83 65 83 65 / 10 0 20 20
Denton 85 65 86 66 / 20 10 10 0
McKinney 84 66 85 66 / 10 10 10 0
Dallas 87 70 88 70 / 10 0 10 0
Terrell 85 66 86 66 / 10 0 10 0
Corsicana 87 68 88 69 / 10 10 10 0
Temple 86 68 88 68 / 10 10 10 0
Mineral Wells 84 64 86 64 / 20 0 0 0
&&
.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...12
LONG TERM....12
AVIATION...12
File: /home/ldm/var/data/BY_SOURCE/KFWD/FXUS64/20260524T1050.txt
756
FXUS64 KFWD 240659
AFDFWD
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
159 AM CDT Sun May 24 2026
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Scattered showers and thunderstorms will remain possible through
the rest of the holiday weekend into next week. The severe
weather threat remains low overall, with locally heavy rainfall
and lightning the main recurring hazards.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 147 AM CDT Sun May 24 2026
A weak surface trough/front is draped across North Texas early
this morning, roughly from near Paris to the Metroplex to
Breckenridge, with light winds and rich low-level moisture pooled
near the boundary. Regional radar shows the remaining Panhandle
convection has evolved into a small bowing line of storms west of
Wichita Falls, moving east-southeast toward the Big Country and
western North Texas. This activity still has a history of strong
wind gusts, and a few stronger gusts may persist over the next
hour or two as the leading gust front moves through weak
instability. Modest mid-level subsidence, weaker lapse rates, and
only limited low-level jet support should favor a gradual
weakening trend as this activity moves farther east through the
early morning hours. Outside of the convection, the combination of
light winds, a moist boundary layer, and the weak surface
boundary across North Texas may support patchy mist or fog toward
daybreak. The best potential for any visibility reductions should
remain mainly east of US-75/I-45, where near-surface moisture is
deepest.
The main forecast question for Sunday will be where any
leftover outflow boundary from the overnight convection settles.
Recent trends suggest this boundary may end up somewhere west of
I-35 and north of I-20, while the weak surface trough/front
remains nearby across North Texas. Moisture pooling along these
boundaries combined with daytime heating should be enough for
isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms Sunday afternoon
and early evening. The highest rain chances will be near the
better boundary focus west of I-35, and across the Brazos
Valley/eastern Central Texas where forcing aloft will be
displaced a bit farther east but lingering moisture and old
boundaries remain in place. Storm coverage should remain
scattered, but any stronger storms may produce gusty winds,
lightning, and brief heavy rain.
Showers and storms should gradually diminish Sunday
evening with the loss of daytime heating. The overall severe
threat remains low given weak flow aloft and limited storm
organization, but the boundary-driven nature of the setup means a
few spots may still see brief stronger storms. Overnight lows will
fall into the 60s with light winds and lingering low-level
moisture. Additional patchy fog or low clouds may develop late
Sunday night into early Monday morning, especially in areas that
receive rainfall Sunday afternoon.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Monday through Saturday)
Issued at 147 AM CDT Sun May 24 2026
Memorial Day and Tuesday continue to look relatively quiet for
most of North and Central Texas as weak ridging and a temporary
decrease in large-scale forcing spread across the region. This
should be good news for those with outdoor holiday plans, with
many locations staying dry for the better part of both days. Low
rain chances will remain across the eastern and southeastern
counties where deeper moisture lingers and weak boundaries may
support isolated afternoon storms. Temperatures will stay near
seasonal normals with afternoon highs generally in the 80s and
muggy mornings in the 60s and lower 70s.
Rain and storm chances will increase sharply Tuesday night into
Wednesday as the next upper disturbance moves into Texas and
provides a better source of lift over the moist air mass. This
still looks like the next period with the highest coverage of
showers and thunderstorms, with locally heavy rainfall again
becoming the main concern where storms repeat or move slowly. The
organized severe threat remains low at this range, though a few
stronger storms with gusty winds and small hail cannot be ruled
out. Rain chances should gradually taper late week as the
disturbance shifts east and weak ridging tries to build back in,
but the pattern will likely remain active enough for at least
intermittent low storm chances through the end of the week.
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 147 AM CDT Sun May 24 2026
VFR will prevail through the period with light and variable winds
overnight. A weak surface trough/front will sag into North Texas
toward daybreak, turning winds light northerly at the Metroplex
terminals. Moisture pooling near this boundary may allow brief
MVFR visibility reductions as mist develops around sunrise,
generally 12-14Z, but the fog signal remains shallow and
scattered.
KACT will have the better potential for a brief period of low
clouds and MVFR visibility around daybreak, with cigs near 1-2 kft
possible through mid-morning. Otherwise, VFR will return by late
morning and continue through the afternoon with light east to
northeast winds. Isolated afternoon storms should remain displaced
from the TAF sites, so no thunder mention is included at this
time.
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth 86 69 87 69 / 10 10 10 0
Waco 85 68 86 68 / 10 10 10 0
Paris 83 65 83 65 / 10 0 20 20
Denton 85 65 86 66 / 20 10 10 0
McKinney 84 66 85 66 / 10 10 10 0
Dallas 87 70 88 70 / 10 0 10 0
Terrell 85 66 86 66 / 10 0 10 0
Corsicana 87 68 88 69 / 10 10 10 0
Temple 86 68 88 68 / 10 10 10 0
Mineral Wells 84 64 86 64 / 20 0 0 0
&&
.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...12
LONG TERM....12
AVIATION...12
File: /home/ldm/var/data/BY_SOURCE/KFWD/FXUS64/20260524T0659.txt
392
FXUS64 KFWD 232345
AFDFWD
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
645 PM CDT Sat May 23 2026
...New UPDATE, AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Scattered showers and thunderstorms will remain possible through
the holiday weekend into next week. The severe weather threat
remains low overall, with locally heavy rainfall and lightning
the main recurring hazards.
&&
.UPDATE...
Issued at 645 PM CDT Sat May 23 2026
Isolated storms capable of producing brief heavy rain and small
hail will continue to affect portions of Central Texas through
this evening before activity wanes with loss of heating.
Overnight, steadily dissipating convection currently located
between Midland and Lubbock will approach parts of North Texas,
but should fall apart rather quickly upon entering the forecast
area. Low PoPs of 20-30% will be retained roughly west of I-35 and
north of I-20. By early Sunday morning, a weak surface
trough/front will sag into North Texas, and a pooling of near-
surface moisture along this boundary could culminate in the
development of mist and fog. A mention of patchy fog has been
introduced to the gridded forecast with this evening's update.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Sunday)
Issued at 146 PM CDT Sat May 23 2026
After a round of overnight and early morning convection, things
have been relatively quiet over the last several hours with the
exception of a few elevated showers/storms to the northwest. This
activity is diminishing quickly though and most areas should
remain dry into the evening. Some recovery behind the subsident
wake is occurring across our south and southeast counties as
evidenced by more pronounced mid level cloud cover and a small
cumulus field to the east. This will be the favored area for
additional showers/storms through the late afternoon and evening
where we'll have some low PoPs, but an organized area of
convection is not expected at this time.
Persistent upper troughing and ample low and mid level moisture
will continue to support at least isolated showers and
thunderstorms across the region through tonight. We'll also be
watching some convection out of West Texas overnight that may make
a run at our western counties, but we're not expecting a repeat
of last night. PoPs will generally remain around 20% through the
overnight hours.
The upper trough axis will shift a bit eastward during the day
Sunday which would displace the better large scale forcing for
ascent to our east. Despite this, a broad weakness in the heights
aloft along with generally weak low and mid level flow will
support isolated to scattered convection along and east of I-35 on
Sunday. We'll keep PoPs around 20% through the day Sunday. High
temperatures will top out in the mid 80s Sunday afternoon.
Dunn
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Sunday night through next Friday)
Issued at 146 PM CDT Sat May 23 2026
With the upper trough just to our east by Sunday night and weak
shortwave ridging over North Texas, we'll see an overall decrease
in convective activity through early Tuesday. The continued
exception will be across our far eastern counties where low level
moisture is best. We can't rule out some scattered showers and
storms Monday and Tuesday east of I-35. Otherwise, the next
upstream disturbance will spread into Texas on Tuesday. We should
see thunderstorms develop across West Texas Tuesday evening and
spread east overnight with a pretty good coverage of showers and
storms across North Texas late Tuesday night and Wednesday. We'll
have the high04est PoPs during this time with 60-80% coverage and
some low potential for a severe storm along with a continued heavy
rain threat. Rain chances will decrease through the end of next
week as the upper trough pulls away and ridging builds back in.
The pattern will remain progressive though and additional storm
chances will continue intermittently through the next 10 days.
Dunn
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 645 PM CDT Sat May 23 2026
Nearly calm winds are in place at all airports as of 23z, and
this trend will continue overnight with variable winds of less
than 5 kts. A weak surface trough will approach from the north by
sunrise causing a shift to light northerly winds, and pooled
moisture along this weak boundary may allow for the development
of patchy mist/fog roughly between 09-14z. A tempo group with
MVFR vis will continue to be advertised around this time window.
All overnight convective activity is expected to remain well west
of the TAF sites, with isolated storms on Sunday afternoon likely
remaining south of the airports. Following the dissipation of any
fog or low cigs tomorrow morning, VFR will prevail through the
rest of the daytime with a light north wind.
For Waco specifically, there is a small chance for the airport to
briefly be impacted by a nearby thunderstorm this evening.
However, with a low probability of occurrence due to limited
coverage, will address this with AMDs as necessary based on trends
with ongoing convection to the south/southeast of the airfield.
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth 68 84 68 84 / 0 10 10 20
Waco 67 82 67 83 / 20 20 10 20
Paris 65 80 65 79 / 10 20 20 50
Denton 65 82 66 83 / 0 10 10 10
McKinney 66 82 66 82 / 0 10 10 30
Dallas 69 84 69 85 / 0 10 10 20
Terrell 67 82 66 82 / 0 20 10 40
Corsicana 67 83 68 84 / 20 20 10 40
Temple 65 83 67 84 / 30 20 10 20
Mineral Wells 64 83 64 84 / 0 10 10 10
&&
.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Dunn
LONG TERM....Dunn
AVIATION...Stalley
File: /home/ldm/var/data/BY_SOURCE/KFWD/FXUS64/20260523T2345.txt
027
FXUS64 KFWD 231919
AFDFWD
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
219 PM CDT Sat May 23 2026
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Scattered showers and thunderstorms will remain possible through
the holiday weekend into next week. The severe weather threat
remains low overall, with locally heavy rainfall and lightning
the main recurring hazards.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Sunday)
Issued at 146 PM CDT Sat May 23 2026
After a round of overnight and early morning convection, things
have been relatively quiet over the last several hours with the
exception of a few elevated showers/storms to the northwest. This
activity is diminishing quickly though and most areas should
remain dry into the evening. Some recovery behind the subsident
wake is occurring across our south and southeast counties as
evidenced by more pronounced mid level cloud cover and a small
cumulus field to the east. This will be the favored area for
additional showers/storms through the late afternoon and evening
where we'll have some low PoPs, but an organized area of
convection is not expected at this time.
Persistent upper troughing and ample low and mid level moisture
will continue to support at least isolated showers and
thunderstorms across the region through tonight. We'll also be
watching some convection out of West Texas overnight that may make
a run at our western counties, but we're not expecting a repeat
of last night. PoPs will generally remain around 20% through the
overnight hours.
The upper trough axis will shift a bit eastward during the day
Sunday which would displace the better large scale forcing for
ascent to our east. Despite this, a broad weakness in the heights
aloft along with generally weak low and mid level flow will
support isolated to scattered convection along and east of I-35 on
Sunday. We'll keep PoPs around 20% through the day Sunday. High
temperatures will top out in the mid 80s Sunday afternoon.
Dunn
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Sunday night through next Friday)
Issued at 146 PM CDT Sat May 23 2026
With the upper trough just to our east by Sunday night and weak
shortwave ridging over North Texas, we'll see an overall decrease
in convective activity through early Tuesday. The continued
exception will be across our far eastern counties where low level
moisture is best. We can't rule out some scattered showers and
storms Monday and Tuesday east of I-35. Otherwise, the next
upstream disturbance will spread into Texas on Tuesday. We should
see thunderstorms develop across West Texas Tuesday evening and
spread east overnight with a pretty good coverage of showers and
storms across North Texas late Tuesday night and Wednesday. We'll
have the highest PoPs during this time with 60-80% coverage and
some low potential for a severe storm along with a continued heavy
rain threat. Rain chances will decrease through the end of next
week as the upper trough pulls away and ridging builds back in.
The pattern will remain progressive though and additional storm
chances will continue intermittently through the next 10 days.
Dunn
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 146 PM CDT Sat May 23 2026
VFR prevails this afternoon in the wake of earlier convection with
light and variable winds under a canopy of mid and high clouds.
Most of the additional convective development today and tonight
will be removed from the D10 airspace so we'll keep the forecast
dry at this time. Light winds and recent rainfall may promote some
patchy fog in the morning so we'll have a TEMPO for 5SM BR early
Sunday morning, but otherwise no significant concerns at the
moment. Wind direction will remain pretty variable through the
period with a general east/southeast direction preferred later
today and Sunday.
Dunn
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 146 PM CDT Sat May 23 2026
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth 68 84 68 84 / 30 10 10 20
Waco 68 82 67 83 / 30 20 10 20
Paris 65 80 65 79 / 20 20 20 50
Denton 66 82 66 83 / 30 10 10 10
McKinney 66 82 66 82 / 20 10 10 30
Dallas 69 84 69 85 / 30 10 10 20
Terrell 67 82 66 82 / 20 20 10 40
Corsicana 69 83 68 84 / 30 20 10 40
Temple 68 83 67 84 / 30 20 10 20
Mineral Wells 64 83 64 84 / 30 10 10 10
&&
.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
File: /home/ldm/var/data/BY_SOURCE/KFWD/FXUS64/20260523T1919.txt
525
FXUS64 KFWD 231522
AFDFWD
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1022 AM CDT Sat May 23 2026
...New UPDATE...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Scattered showers and thunderstorms will remain possible through
the holiday weekend into next week. The severe weather threat
remains low overall, with locally heavy rainfall and lightning
the main recurring hazards.
&&
.UPDATE...
Issued at 951 AM CDT Sat May 23 2026
The bulk of the convection has pushed well off to the east this
morning, but wrap around northerly flow has resulted in a broad
area convergence within an area of modest elevated instability.
The 12Z FWD sounding showed a strong subsidence inversion in the
wake of earlier morning convection, but there is around 200 J/kg
of elevated instability around 9000 ft. This weak forcing has
resulted in a few scattered elevated showers and storms to the
west of the Metroplex. These should generally be short lived but
we'll maintain some 20% PoPs through the late morning. Otherwise,
we should generally remain quiet in the wake of earlier convection
and have reduced PoPs accordingly through the rest of the
afternoon. No other changes at this time.
Dunn
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 154 AM CDT Sat May 23 2026
GOES-16 water vapor imagery and the latest RAP 500 mb analysis
show a compact disturbance shifting across West Texas. At the
surface, light southerly flow remains in place across our area,
with a warm and moist airmass ahead of the weak front sagging into
the southern Plains. Regional radar imagery shows a remarkably
well-organized line of showers and thunderstorms nearing the I-35
corridor. This activity will continue moving east across North and
Central Texas through the pre-dawn hours this morning. The
highest storm coverage should remain along and just south of I-20.
This activity has so far been slow to weaken, with continued
inflow of moist, unstable air ahead of the line helping maintain
vigorous updrafts along the leading edge of the cold pool.
Increasing nocturnal inhibition and weak mid/upper-level support
should eventually lead to a weakening trend, but the current
strength of the line suggests storms may hold together across and
just east of the I-35 corridor through roughly 1-3 AM. Gusty
winds, frequent lightning, and brief, locally heavy rainfall will
be the main concerns, though a few isolated instances of large
hail and strong wind gusts may accompany any better-organized
segment.
In the wake of the departing morning convection, a brief period
of drier weather is expected for much of the region through the
late morning and early afternoon. Subsidence should prevail across
North Texas despite some breaks in the low-level clouds, and the
farther south track of this morning’s storms may also limit
recovery across more of Central Texas than earlier expected. The
better chance for afternoon redevelopment should focus east of
I-35 and south of I-20, where the warm, moist air mass will remain
in place ahead of the approaching cold front and another
shortwave moving across western Central Texas. Decreasing
instability with eastward extent should favor a weakening trend
late in the afternoon and evening, though a few strong to
marginally severe storms will remain possible with small hail,
gusty winds, frequent lightning, and locally heavy rain.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Sunday through Friday)
Issued at 154 AM CDT Sat May 23 2026
Any boundaries left behind by Saturdays convection will remain
important on Sunday as weak troughing lingers across Texas and
low-level moisture stays in place. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms should develop again during the afternoon and
evening, especially where daytime heating overlaps with remnant
outflow or weak low-level convergence. The best rain chances
should generally remain along and east of I-35, where moisture
will be deeper and the air mass should recover more efficiently.
Weak shear will keep the organized severe threat low, but slow
storm motions and a moist column will support locally heavy
rainfall in stronger cells.
A relative minimum in storm coverage is expected Memorial Day as
the weekend disturbance drifts east and weak height rises spread
across North and Central Texas. Low rain chances will remain in
place, mainly east of I-35, but many locations should stay dry for
a good part of the day. Rain and storm chances should increase
again Tuesday into Wednesday as a stronger disturbance moves out
of the Southwest and across Texas, providing a better source of
lift over a still-moist air mass. This will likely be the next
window for more widespread showers and thunderstorms, with locally
heavy rain the main concern where storms repeat or move slowly.
Showers and storms may linger into Thursday before rain chances
begin to taper late in the week as the stronger forcing shifts
east and weak ridging tries to build back into the Southern
Plains. Details during the second half of the week remain lower
confidence, but the overall severe weather threat still looks
limited at this range. Temperatures should stay near late-May
normals most days, with highs generally in the 80s and overnight
lows in the 60s and lower 70s, though any day with more widespread
rain and clouds will end up cooler.
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 616 AM CDT Sat May 23 2026
The line of thunderstorms and trailing stratiform rain have
shifted east of all TAF sites, leaving light and somewhat variable
winds in their wake. A few lingering low clouds will remain
possible this morning, but VFR should prevail at most sites with
ceilings lifting by mid to late morning. Despite the moist low-
level airmass and light/calm winds in spots, persistent cloud
cover should keep fog from becoming a concern at the terminals
this morning. A lull in precipitation is expected through the
afternoon and evening. Additional storms may develop well to the
west later today as another disturbance moves across the region,
but this activity is expected to weaken before reaching the
Metroplex or Waco terminals, so no thunder mention is included at
this time. Low clouds are expected to return late tonight into
Sunday morning, with MVFR ceilings likely at all TAF sites after
roughly 08Z.
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth 84 68 83 68 / 20 10 20 10
Waco 86 67 81 66 / 20 20 40 20
Paris 80 65 80 65 / 30 10 20 20
Denton 83 66 82 66 / 20 10 10 10
McKinney 83 66 81 66 / 20 10 20 10
Dallas 85 69 84 68 / 20 10 20 10
Terrell 84 66 81 66 / 10 10 30 10
Corsicana 85 69 83 68 / 20 20 40 20
Temple 85 68 82 67 / 20 20 40 20
Mineral Wells 84 64 83 63 / 20 10 10 10
&&
.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Sellers
LONG TERM....Sellers
AVIATION...Sellers
File: /home/ldm/var/data/BY_SOURCE/KFWD/FXUS64/20260523T1522.txt
